The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 47.6%
Draw 32.6%
Atlético de Rafaela 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
34.3%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
34.6%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quilmes's performance.
Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quilmes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 10. Batista A. 5. Bolivar A. 7. Lavezzi A. 3. Ortega T. 2. Rasso I. 6. Recalde L. 9. Spetale A. 4. Vallejos M. 11. Vera U. 8. Yangali J.
1. Bergia M. (G) 10. Cainelli N. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 4. Flores L. 9. Leineker C. 7. Moreno M. 11. Pardo M. 3. Ramirez R. 6. Ramos N. 5. Soloa F.
Substitutes
20. Dominguez A. 17. Fernandez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 16. Martinez R. 18. Mejias T. 14. Ortega A. 15. Paredes M. 13. Romeo L. 19. Vazquez G.
20. Albertengo L. 16. Fernandez M. 12. Martinez R. (G) 19. Nouet F. 18. Quiroga M. 13. Solveyra A. 15. Suarez R. 17. Torrens J. 14. Wuattier E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Vera U. ⚽, Lavezzi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ramirez R. 🟨,
63', Cainelli N. ↓, Albertengo L. ↑,
63', Leineker C. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
63', Capurro J. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Spetale A. ⚽,
78', Ramos N. 🟨,
79', Ramos N. ↓, Solveyra A. ↑,
80', Bolivar A. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
80', Spetale A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
83', Moreno M. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
88', Lavezzi A. ↓, Mejias T. ↑,
88', Batista A. ↓, Romeo L. ↑,
88', Vera U. ↓, Ortega A. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético Rafaela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Quilmes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Argentina
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Marinelli G. (G) 
Ramos N. 
Glellel E. (G) 
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