Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Colegiales		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.85	4.1	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.95	Watch
	2.05	3	4.34
	2.1	2.77	4.44	Watch
	2.05	2.8	4
	2	2.83	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	4.15 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
45.3%

Draw
32.4%

Agropecuario Argentino
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

31.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

31.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colegiales will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colegiales: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 7. Gonzalez L. 3. Hanashiro F. 4. Malagueno F. 5. Marin F. 11. Montiel F. 8. Ocampo E. 6. Ortiz L. 2. Rivero F. 9. Toloza N. 10. Zicarelli F.	1. Acosta L. (G) 6. Aguirre A. (C) 4. Aguirre E. 10. Castro R. 9. Gagliardi A. 2. Lecanda T. 5. Molina M. 7. Mosqueira R. 3. Ramos M. 11. Ruiz Diaz D. 8. Valdez J.
Substitutes
19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 15. Baglivo G. L. 18. Castillo L. 14. Chiavetto A. 13. Insua E. 17. Juarez L. 16. Perri T. 20. Ricciotti L.	17. Auzqui C. 18. Barrera L. 19. Cabello J. 15. Gallucci S. 16. Napolitano A. 14. Perez F. 20. Rojas B. 12. Salort G. (G) 13. Sanchez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ruiz Diaz D. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
46', Ocampo E. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
46', Montiel F. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
71', Zicarelli F. ↓, Baglivo G. L. ↑,
75', Aguirre E. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
75', Valdez J. ↓, Gallucci S. ↑,
83', Malagueno F. ↓, Perri T. ↑,
86', Castillo L. 🟨,
90', Mosqueira R. ↓, Napolitano A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Colegiales is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Colegiales - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLWT
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLTWW

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