Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5.25
	1.78	3.1	4.6
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.82	3.35	5.04
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.83	3.34	4.7
	1.78	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.33)	3.24 ↑ (2.93)	4.87 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
52.1%

Draw
28.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Caseros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes de Caseros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Atlético de Rafaela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CA Estudiantes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CA Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético de Rafaela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLW
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.04.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.08.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2

Upcoming Matches