Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4
	1.88	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.35	3.8
	1.99	3.38	4.03
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.91	3.55	3.96
	1.92	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	3.43 ↓ (4.03)	3.83 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
48.4%

Draw
27.2%

Independiente Rivadavia
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

22.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Rafaela: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Atlético de Rafaela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi	2:2 ✺
09.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.05.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0
22.10.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	3:2
27.06.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1
19.04.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
24.02.18	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1

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