Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3.1
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.3	3.15	3
	2.45	3.02	3.28
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.41	3.04	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.21)	3.12 ↓ (4.03)	3.04 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
39.4%

Draw
29.9%

Quilmes
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

22.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

21.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Independiente Rivadavia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Quilmes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Rivadavia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.04.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Rivadavia	3:3 ✺
27.03.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.04.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
03.04.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.02.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	1:0
02.03.19	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
11.03.18	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1
Copa Argentina
30.07.15	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0

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