Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2	Watch
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.97	3.16	4.49
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.93	3.32	4.15
	1.97	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.07)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	4.05 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
47.7%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético de Rafaela
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Ortale M. 2. Petrasso F. 6. Maidana M. (C) 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 7. Aguirre J. 11. Gonzalez M. 10. Reali M. 9. Ramis V.	1. Peano M. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Fontanini F. (C) 6. Bravo A. 3. Risso G. 10. Lamendola N. 5. Soloa F. 8. Fissore M. 7. Lago I. 11. Funez N. 9. Bieler C.
Substitutes
15. Abecasis L. 20. Arce A. 16. Ascacibar J. 14. Flores S. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 19. Sanchez B. 17. Tonetto D. 18. Valdez I.	20. Albertengo G. 17. Arevalos N. 12. Bergia M. (G) 18. Delgadillo N. 14. Olguin M. 13. Telechea G. N. 19. Toldo F. 15. Torres F. 16. Valdivia M.
Coaches
Berti A.	Medran E.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Independiente Rivadavia is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 3.

Recent matches Independiente Rivadavia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético de Rafaela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Rivadavia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:4 ✺
03.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Aldosivi - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3
15.05.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0
22.10.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	3:2
27.06.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1
19.04.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
24.02.18	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1

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