Match Info

I Lyga - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	2.68	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.56	3.38	2.35
	2.64	3.45	2.36	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.3
	2.58	3.4	2.32
	2.12	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)	3.36 ↓ (3.43)	2.35 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
34.5%

Draw
27%

Babrungas Plungė
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Babrungas will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 🟥,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 0.

Recent form of Atmosfera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Babrungas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atmosfera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	26	20	4	2	45:11	34	64
9	Atmosfera	25	8	7	10	37:33	4	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
21.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LLWLL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
01.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
19.09.25	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0
17.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
08.11.24	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:0
21.06.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	0:2
10.07.22	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	7:1
18.03.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	0:1
30.07.21	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:3

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