Match Info

I Lyga - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LNK
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.80	1.55
	4.55	3.75	1.6
	5.00	3.75	1.56
	5.15	3.65	1.60	Watch
	5.00	3.50	1.55
	4.72	3.8	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.53)	3.71 ↓ (3.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
18.6%

Draw
24.3%

Minija Kretinga
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

23.5%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

22.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atmosfera Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minija Kretinga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atmosfera Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minija Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2.

In recent matches, Atmosfera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Minija is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Minija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Minija is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	55	67
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
12.06.26	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Garliava	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTLW
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.26	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	Pempininkai - Minija Kretinga	1:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
16.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1
19.04.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1
02.11.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	2:1
15.06.24	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1
04.11.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:2
02.07.22	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2
07.08.21	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:3

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