Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Munaishy Stadium (Atyrau)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)


	Atyrau		Makhtaaral

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	1.99	3.21	3.38
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	2.04	3.28	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
45.2%

Draw
28.2%

Makhtaaral
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Makhtaaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Makhtaaral than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Atyrau - Makhtaaral Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Adambaev A. 6. Dzumatov R. 9. Efiong N. 11. Kozlov E. 30. Matheus 19. Nadzharyan G. 21. Novak J. 55. Noyok O. 22. Stasevich I. (C) 18. Stepanov N.	35. Kalmykov N. (G) 10. Abdurakhmanov O. 21. Aripov D. (C) 3. Dairov N. 77. Pairuz Z. 6. Parunashvili L. 55. Potapov E. 8. Shramchenko A. 13. Tursynbay S. 5. Yudenkov R. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.
Substitutes
5. Antanavicius D. 10. Imeri D. 29. Kadriu F. 20. Kaldybekov E. 16. Karavaev I. (G) 17. Omirtaev O. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 27. Urda D. 14. Zhagorov N. 4. Zhumakhanov A.	1. Hayrapetyan A. (G) 81. Karimov R. 30. Kone D. 19. Kosmynin V. 9. Mukhamed A. 7. Newadzi S. 70. Sagnayev S. 53. Sebaihi B.
Coaches
Zhukovski V.	Nurdauletov K.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 11).

Recent matches Atyrau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Makhtaaral is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atyrau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atyrau will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atyrau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
24.09.23	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Atyrau - Aktobe	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Aksu - Atyrau	4:1 ✺
12.08.23	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTLW
- FC Makhtaaral
Kazakh Premier League
27.09.23	Ordabasy - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Makhtaaral - Aksu	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Makhtaaral	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Makhtaaral - Shakhter Karagandy	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Zhetysu - Makhtaaral	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
15.03.23	Makhtaaral - Atyrau	0:1
26.06.22	Makhtaaral - Atyrau	1:1
17.03.22	Atyrau - Makhtaaral	2:1
Kazakh Cup
07.08.21	Makhtaaral - Atyrau	1:1
11.07.21	Atyrau - Makhtaaral	2:2

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