Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atyrau		Aktobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.10
	3.6	3.35	1.95	Watch
	3.58	3.5	2.06
	3.63	3.53	1.89	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.89
	3.66	3.4	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
26.2%

Draw
27.2%

Aktobe
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Atyrau - Aktobe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aktobe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 99. Kereev B. 5. Satanov S. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. 44. Maksimovic D. 7. Henrique 15. Ofori E. 11. Seytkaliev A. 9. Abdulla A. 14. Dorofeev K.	16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 6. Atanasov J. 4. Kusyapov T. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 9. Ojo S. 20. Zhukov G. 21. Alvarez P. 7. Sosah D. 77. Zaria G. 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
47. Abdumansur H. 27. Berdesh N. 10. Dzhumatov R. 21. Orynbasar D. 90. Pantelic D. 12. Sagat N. (G) 23. Shaykhov B. 8. Stanic M. 25. Zhumagali S.	95. Aymbetov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 17. Nani 18. Ordets I. 22. Seydakhmet E. 12. Topalov D. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Kereev B. 🟨,
14', Zaria G. 🟨,
28', Dorofeev K. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Maksimovic D. ⚽, Kalmuratov K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Ojo S. ↓, Nani ↑,
62', Abdulla A. ↓, Pantelic D. ↑,
72', Alvarez P. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
72', Zaria G. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Sosah D. ⚽, Dosmagambetov T. (A),
80', Seytkaliev A. ↓, Stanic M. ↑,
80', Maksimovic D. ↓, Orynbasar D. ↑,
88', Nani 🟨,
89', Dorofeev K. ↓, Abdumansur H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 0.

Atyrau is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aktobe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aktobe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:38. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Last Results with these Odds

Aktobe - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Altai Semey - Aktobe	2:4 ✺
12.07.26	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Aktobe - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1
05.07.25	Aktobe - Atyrau	2:0
30.03.25	Atyrau - Aktobe	0:4
Kazakh Cup
29.09.24	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:2
Kazakh Premier League
11.08.24	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1
07.04.24	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1
27.08.23	Atyrau - Aktobe	0:0

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