Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Ismuratov A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Okzhetpes		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.39
	2.1	3.11	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.11	3.26	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.86)	3.16 ↓ (3.96)	3.45 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
44.4%

Draw
29%

Atyrau
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

23.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

The ML Model estimate for Atyrau aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Okzhetpes - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Okzhetpes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atyrau will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 77. Sovpel V. 17. Nurymbet A. 9. Borodin D. 8. Buribaev N. 47. Vasiljev V. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. (C) 19. Omirtaev O.	35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 6. Yudenkov R. 5. Satanov S. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 78. Khvalko E. 55. Noyok O. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 9. Abdulla A. 7. Henrique
Substitutes
91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 55. Mikhailov N. 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 12. Shaimurat E. (G) 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 4. Zyabko V.	27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 18. Trufanov Y. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Noyok O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
63', Zhangylyshbay T. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
64', Abdulla A. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
71', Omirtaev O. 🟨,
76', Buribaev N. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
76', Dorofeev K. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
90+2', Khvalko E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.

Okzhetpes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Okzhetpes - Ertis Pavlodar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTLW
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Astana - Atyrau	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.06.25	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:0
08.03.25	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	2:1
24.09.23	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0
02.04.23	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:4
29.09.19	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	2:2
30.06.19	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	3:0
20.04.19	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	1:2

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