Match Info

A-League - Round 22

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2
World	Onefootball


	Western Sydney Wanderers		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	3.3	Watch
	1.82	4	3.6
	1.98	3.95	3.25	Watch
	2.02	4.1	3.43
	2.05	4.1	3.17	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.2
	2.03	4.02	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	4.01 ↑ (3.77)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers
48.1%

Draw
23.6%

Adelaide United
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

24.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Adelaide (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Adelaide (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Adelaide (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Adelaide (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thomas L. (C) 17. Carluccio J. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 18. Farrell J. 3. Gersbach A. 5. Scicluna D. 8. Ugarkovic S. 32. Thurgate A. 23. Kraev B. 26. Borrello B. 7. Fraser R.	22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 4. Kikianis P. 3. Vriends B. (C) 7. Kitto R. 19. Dukuly Y. 44. White R. 55. Alagich E. 12. Yull J. 10. Muniz J. 9. Jovanovic L.
Substitutes
9. Barbarouses K. 24. Barrie N. 25. Brillante J. 14. Cancar P. 21. Hammond A. 30. Holmes J. (G) 38. Rose J.	87. Anselmo 42. Ayoubi A. 35. Burkitt B. 23. Duzel L. 17. Folami B. 52. Phillis S. 13. Vartuli M. (G)
Coaches
van Egmond G.	Andrioli A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Gersbach A. ⚽, Scicluna D. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Muniz J. ⚽, Alagich E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fraser R. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Thurgate A. ⚽, Pantazopoulos A. (A),
62', Carluccio J. ↓, Cancar P. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
68', Muniz J. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
71', 2 - 4, Kikianis P. ⚽,
76', Scicluna D. ↓, Rose J. ↑,
80', Jovanovic L. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
89', Borrello B. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
89', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
90', Smits J. 🟨,
90+6', White R. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
90+6', Dukuly Y. ↓, Folami B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 1.

In recent matches, Western Sydney has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Adelaide is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Western Sydney has had a series of away games.

Western Sydney could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Western Sydney: Simmons A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C. (Groin Injury) Kikianis P. (Yellow Cards) Pierias D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:38. (average 2.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.4:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	WS Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
13.03.26	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:4 ✺
22.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLT
- Adelaide United
Australian A-League
14.03.26	Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sydney - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:2
07.11.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0
27.12.24	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3
02.11.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	3:4
Australian Cup
12.09.24	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ET
Australian A-League
24.02.24	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2
15.12.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	1:0

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