Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 10

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Churchill Reserve (Melbourne)


	St Albans Dinamo		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	4	1.6
	4.25	3.9	1.62
	4.55	4.54	1.62
	4.44	3.66	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.9	1.57
	4.36	4.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.23)	4.04 ↑ (3.78)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans Dinamo
20.7%

Draw
22.7%

South Melbourne
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

24.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

23.4%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans Dinamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans Dinamo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

St Albans Dinamo - South Melbourne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 2, ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,
86', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Albans won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

In this match, South Melbourne is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, St Albans won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:33. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, St Albans won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans Dinamo
Australian NPL Victoria
18.04.26	Hume City - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	St Albans Dinamo - Avondale	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	St Albans Dinamo - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - St Albans Dinamo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLLWL
- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
21.04.26	South Melbourne - Tahiti United	8:1 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
19.04.26	South Melbourne - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3 ✺
OFC Pro League
17.04.26	South Melbourne - PNG Hekari	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	South Melbourne - Bula	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
06.06.25	St Albans Dinamo - South Melbourne	2:2
03.03.25	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	0:3
18.08.24	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	2:1
12.05.24	St Albans Dinamo - South Melbourne	1:4
20.06.23	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	4:0
26.03.23	St Albans Dinamo - South Melbourne	0:1
11.06.22	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	4:0

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