The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audace Cerignola 52.6%
Draw 26.6%
Altamura 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.4%
25.5%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
24.4%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Altamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Audace Cerignola - Altamura Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Viola A. (G) 24. Romano A. 55. Cocorocchio M. 23. Gasbarro A. (C) 27. Boccadamo A. 68. Sellaf M. 58. Cretella C. 4. Vitale G. 33. Perlingieri M. 7. Vinciguerra A. 9. Gambale D.
32. Perucchini F. (G) 2. Gagliardi L. 6. Pacia F. 31. Pirrello R. 21. Mogentale T. 16. Grande M. 4. Dipinto N. 8. Crimi M. (C) 37. Falasca M. 7. Rosafio M. 10. Curcio A.
Substitutes
17. Amiranda F. 21. Casarosa M. 10. D'Orazio L. 18. Guaragna C. 19. Iorio A. 5. Martinelli L. 44. Miranda K. 20. Nanula M. 14. Padula C. 77. Pinotti M. 80. Seminari G. 37. Silvestro A. 1. Vailati A. (G) 11. Volpe G.
14. Bocic M. 77. Calusic M. 99. De Gennaro S. (G) 1. Di Bartolo F. (G) 9. Malcore G. 30. Nazzaro M. 3. Ovalle Santos A. 70. Peschetola L. 11. Simone G. 28. Tudor R. 5. Zazza M.
Coaches
Catalano R.
Memushaj L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Mogentale T. 🟨,
31', Curcio A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gagliardi L. ↓, Ovalle Santos A. ↑,
61', Crimi M. 🟨,
62', Gambale D. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
62', Perlingieri M. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
62', Vitale G. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
66', Dipinto N. ↓, Nazzaro M. ↑,
69', Romano A. ↓, Miranda K. ↑,
81', Pacia F. 🟨,
85', Rosafio M. ↓, Peschetola L. ↑,
85', Curcio A. ↓, Malcore G. ↑,
86', Grande M. ↓, Calusic M. ↑,
87', Vinciguerra A. ↓, Silvestro A. ↑,
88', Padula C. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 0.
In recent outings, Audace Cerignola has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Altamura has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Audace Cerignola could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Audace Cerignola carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Audace Cerignola has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Audace Cerignola against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.9:1.4 per game).