Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	ACR Messina		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.73
	4.5	3.45	1.77
	4.43	3.44	1.78
	4.4	3.25	1.75
	4.48	3.44	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3.45	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (4.37)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
20.8%

Draw
27%

Audace Cerignola
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.3%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

25.8%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 15. Marino A. 98. Rizzo F. 5. Mame Ass N. 7. Lia D. (C) 16. Petrucci D. 8. Frisenna G. 28. Pedicillo L. 24. Ortisi P. 9. Anatriello G. 18. Luciani P.	12. Saracco U. (G) 55. Martinelli L. 5. Capomaggio G. 25. Romano R. 7. Coccia G. 20. Miguel Angel 8. Tascone M. 10. Ruggiero Z. 3. Russo L. 19. Achik I. 9. Salvemini F.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 27. Mameli B. 20. Morleo U. 11. Petrungaro L. 21. Salvo G.	24. Carnevale A. 80. Di Dio F. 22. Fares G. (G) 1. Greco S. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 50. Ingrosso G. 30. Iurilli N. 17. Jallow S. 72. Pio Carrozza G. 21. Velasquez S. 77. Volpe G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ruggiero Z. ⚽,
20', Mame Ass N. 🟨,
33', Marino A. 🟨,
39', Tascone M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Frisenna G. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
46', Luciani P. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
46', Ortisi P. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
46', Mame Ass N. ↓, Morleo U. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Anatriello G. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Salvemini F. ⚽,
62', Russo L. ↓, Ingrosso G. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Romano R. ⚽,
72', Coccia G. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
73', Velasquez S. 🟨,
80', Miguel Angel ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
80', Ruggiero Z. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
80', Achik I. ↓, Ianzano D. ↑,
81', Petrucci D. ↓, Adragna G. ↑,
86', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

ACR Messina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Audace Cerignola is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audace Cerignola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.24	Potenza - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventus U23 - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:3 ✺
01.12.24	Turris - ACR Messina	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	ACR Messina - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.24	Audace Cerignola - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
16.12.24	Latina - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Benevento - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.08.24	Audace Cerignola - ACR Messina	2:0
07.01.24	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	1:2
02.09.23	Audace Cerignola - ACR Messina	2:2
05.02.23	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	0:1
08.10.22	Audace Cerignola - ACR Messina	3:0

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