Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Audace Cerignola		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.68	3.5	4.15
	1.71	3.35	4
	1.68	3.44	4.16
	1.77	3.3	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	4.17 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
52.2%

Draw
26.3%

Francavilla
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

17.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Audace Cerignola - Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Audace Cerignola in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Francavilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Audace Cerignola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Francavilla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.11.21	Virtus Matino - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Mariglianese	4:0 ✺
14.11.21	Nocerina - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
07.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.11.21	Francavilla - Gravina	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Nardo - Francavilla	2:3 ✺
14.11.21	Francavilla - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
10.11.21	Cittanovese - Francavilla	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Bisceglie - Francavilla	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
11.10.20	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	0:1
10.11.19	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	2:1
23.12.18	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	2:0
03.12.17	Audace Cerignola - Francavilla	3:1

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