Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Virtus Matino		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.61
	4.1	3.25	1.75
	4.7	3.45	1.6
	4.72	3.72	1.55
	5.25	3.3	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4)	3.42 ↑ (3.13)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino
18.9%

Draw
26.2%

Audace Cerignola
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

27.7%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

22.3%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audace Cerignola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Matino - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Virtus Matino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Audace Cerignola in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Audace Cerignola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Audace Cerignola have a series of home games.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.11.21	Lavello - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Virtus Matino - Nardo	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Casertana - Virtus Matino	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Virtus Matino - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Gravina - Virtus Matino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- USD Audace Cerignola
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Mariglianese	4:0 ✺
14.11.21	Nocerina - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
07.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

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