The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audax Italiano 44.3%
Draw 29%
Deportes Concepción 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
26.1%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.
Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 13. Ferrario E. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 7. Guajardo P. 8. Collao M. (C) 28. Mateos F. 23. Matus E. 18. Aedo N. 21. Chiaverano G. 11. Troyansky F.
1. Cesar (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 3. Carrasco D. 11. Vejar B. 18. Rodriguez Y. 16. Sandoval M. 19. Jara A. 24. Cavalleri M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
Substitutes
10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 25. Garrido P. (G) 20. Jimenez M. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 35. Rebolledo R. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 6. Sandoval M.
25. Araya N. (G) 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Gillard A. 20. Henriquez J. 23. Rojas J. 27. Sepulveda N. 13. Suarez C.
Coaches
Lema G.
Almendra P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ferrario E. ⚽, Aedo N. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Chiaverano G. ⚽, Guajardo P. (A),
12', Sandoval M. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
32', 3 - 0, Troyansky F. ⚽, Ortiz M. (A),
45+3', Troyansky F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cavalleri M. ↓, Henriquez J. ↑,
46', Vejar B. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
46', Aedo N. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
49', Sepulveda N. 🟨,
60', Chiaverano G. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
60', Guajardo P. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
72', Troyansky F. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
78', Larrivey J. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
78', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
79', Sandoval M. 🟨,
80', Collao M. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
82', Gillard A. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
Audax Italiano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Concepción is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Audax Italiano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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Ahumada T. (G) 
Ortiz M. 
Cesar (G) 
Rodriguez N. 
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