The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audax Italiano 43.7%
Draw 28.3%
Huachipato 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
27.2%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
30.3%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.
Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huachipato's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huachipato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
Audax Italiano - Huachipato Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Audax Italiano (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 20. Riveros L. 13. Ferrario E. 22. Espejo J. 23. Matus E. 8. Collao M. (C) 19. Troyansky F. 6. Guiffrey G. 24. Orellana N. 17. Eduardo Vargas 10. Valencia Rossel L.
25. Odriozola R. (C) 4. Gazzolo B. 46. Castro J. 28. Gutierrez M. 5. Caroca R. 23. Martinez C. 6. Sepulveda C. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 9. Altamirano L. 44. Vargas N. 20. Martinez J. A.
Substitutes
18. Aedo N. 21. Carrasco Reyes M. J. 28. Collao G. (G) 26. Contreras M. 33. Gonzalez A. 7. Guajardo P. 15. Jimenez M. 11. Riep A. 32. Salazar Y.
16. Arriagada L. 7. Briceno M. 11. Figueroa J. 2. Guaiquil N. 17. Lopez Z. (G) 13. Malanca R. 41. Melgarejo S. 8. Silva S. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
Coaches
Ribera J.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Vargas N. 🟨,
64', Castro J. ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Matus E. ⚽, Valencia Rossel L. (A),
73', Eduardo Vargas (Pen),
74', Vargas N. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
76', Troyansky F. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
83', Riveros L. 🟨,
87', Orellana N. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
87', Riveros L. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
87', Gutierrez M. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
87', Altamirano L. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
87', Sepulveda C. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
90', Collao M. 🟨,
90+3', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Audax Italiano has had a series of away games.
Audax Italiano could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
Watch
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Ahumada T. (G) 
Riveros L. 
Troyansky F. 
Odriozola R. (C) 
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