Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 24

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Flores D. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Audax Italiano		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.68	3.75	5	Watch
	1.71	3.86	5.09
	1.7	3.72	4.77	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.8
	1.7	3.76	4.74	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)	4.88 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
55.6%

Draw
25.2%

Cobreloa
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Audax Italiano - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 4. Pina D. 5. Torres F. 7. Fernandez N. 26. Ortiz G. 8. Collao M. 15. Cecchini E. 16. Gil Romero G. 9. Palacios L. (C) 11. Bazan N. 24. Orellana N.	22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 4. Tapia B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 24. Garcia L. 11. Leiva J. 7. Insaurralde C. 10. Borgnino M. 41. Donadell N. 23. Javier Parraguez
Substitutes
32. Arriagada L. 31. Carabali O. (G) 19. Dittborn S. 17. Guajardo P. 27. Monreal D. 22. Riep A. 10. Villanueva C.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 42. Brasil M. 43. Di Maio L. 33. Fernandez P. 14. Orrego N. 20. Sandoval M. 37. Valdes B.
Coaches
Ribera J.	Giovagnoli D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Fernandez N. 🟨,
23', Fernandez N. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Orellana N. ⚽,
35', Villanueva C. 🟨,
40', Gil Romero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
61', Torres F. 🟨,
64', Borgnino M. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
68', Collao M. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
68', Palacios L. ↓, Dittborn S. ↑,
68', Ahumada T. 🟨,
72', Javier Parraguez 🟨,
76', Carabali O. 🟥,
81', Donadell N. ↓, Di Maio L. ↑,
81', Aguila Bastias Y. M. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
82', Di Maio L. 🟨,
83', Cecchini E. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
83', Orellana N. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Dittborn S. ⚽, Riep A. (A),
89', Javier Parraguez 🟨,
90+8', Valdes B. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Audax Italiano is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Audax Italiano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
01.09.24	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Audax Italiano - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Coquimbo Unido - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTWT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
01.09.24	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cobreloa - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
17.08.24	Unión Española - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Cobreloa - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
21.04.24	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	0:3
22.02.15	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	1:0
14.09.14	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	0:1
02.02.14	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	2:0
24.08.13	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	1:1
17.03.13	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	1:1
21.07.12	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	1:2

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