The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coquimbo Unido 56%
Draw 25.1%
Huachipato 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
23.9%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
23.6%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 4. Hernandez E. 2. Gazzolo B. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 15. Zavala C. 18. Rodriguez P. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 9. Johansen N.
12. Bravo C. (G) 20. Toro C. 5. Caroca R. 8. Vargas N. 26. Antinirre H. 7. Briceno M. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 30. Altez K. 15. Rodriguez M. 19. Nunez S.
Substitutes
28. Cabrera S. 30. Chandia B. 14. Cordero S. 1. Flores G. (G) 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 29. Pons F. 27. Riveros L. 26. Soza L. 10. Vadala G.
9. Altamirano L. 16. Arriagada L. 10. Canete E. 22. Carcamo J. 21. Herrera C. 23. Martinez C. 3. Mellado B. 1. Mella S. (G) 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
Coaches
Caputto H.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Leon Munoz M. A. 🟨,
35', Hernandez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Briceno M. 🟨,
60', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
62', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Nunez S. ⚽,
68', Altez K. ↓, Altamirano L. ↑,
68', Antinirre H. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
69', Hernandez E. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
69', Riveros L. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
87', Cornejo J. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
89', Camargo A. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
89', Rodriguez P. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 3.
Recent form of Coquimbo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Huachipato is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Huachipato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Coquimbo is considered a favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Huachipato
24
10
4
10
34:39
-5
34
11
Coquimbo
23
8
5
10
31:32
-1
29
Last Results with these Odds
Coquimbo Unido - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 57.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.