Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 20

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Huachipato		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.55
	2.42	3.45	2.62	Watch
	2.55	3.77	2.68
	2.46	3.67	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.65	2.6
	2.35	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.43	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.07)	3.54 ↑ (3.26)	2.59 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
37.9%

Draw
26.2%

Deportes Limache
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Limache's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Limache, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Huachipato - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mella S. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 8. Vargas N. 5. Caroca R. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 10. Canete E. 7. Briceno M. 19. Nunez S. 23. Martinez C. 9. Altamirano L.	17. Gonzalez C. (G) 33. Escobar D. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 11. Rojas J. 27. Galletto T. 25. Llanten M. 14. Martinez H. 15. Alvarez V. 16. Jean David 9. Sosa G.
Substitutes
33. Abarzua A. 26. Antinirre H. 16. Arriagada L. 12. Bravo C. (G) 22. Carcamo J. 21. Herrera C. 3. Mellado B. 15. Rodriguez M. 20. Toro C.	5. Alfonzo A. 26. Arturia M. 1. Borquez M. (G) 32. Carcamo V. 6. Fuentes C. 3. Molina B. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Mella S. (Own goal),
42', 0 - 2, Sosa G. ⚽,
44', Guaiquil G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 3, Galletto T. ⚽, Parot A. (A),
45+4', Llanten M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
46', Guaiquil G. ↓, Mellado B. ↑,
50', Canete E. 🟨,
51', Escobar D. 🟨,
59', Canete E. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
61', Llanten M. ↓, Alfonzo A. ↑,
67', Briceno M. 🟨,
67', Alvarez V. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
72', Altamirano L. ↓, Antinirre H. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
81', Jean David 🟨,
83', Escobar D. 🟥,
89', Martinez H. ↓, Fuentes C. ↑,

Preview

Huachipato is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Limache has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34:39	-5	34
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Limache - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.26	Palestino - Huachipato	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	Universidad de Chile - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Huachipato - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Temuco - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
15.08.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
28.02.26	Deportes Limache - Huachipato	3:0
Chilean Cup
10.12.25	Huachipato - Deportes Limache	2:1 penalties
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.25	Huachipato - Deportes Limache	4:0
14.03.25	Deportes Limache - Huachipato	2:3

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