Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Palestino		Santiago Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.25	Watch
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.53	4	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.08	5.4
	1.55	4.15	5.63	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.42	4.33	6.19
	1.52	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)	4.08 ↑ (3.75)	5.5 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Palestino
60.9%

Draw
22.4%

Santiago Wanderers
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

27.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palestino's performance.

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Palestino - Santiago Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 22. Chamorro F. 17. Roman I. 13. Suarez C. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 5. Linares N. 28. Zuniga D. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 11. Benitez J. 27. Marabel J.	1. Miranda E. (G) 2. Espinoza V. 6. Ortiz D. 24. Ormeno E. 23. Leon J. 20. Garrido B. 8. Pereyra J. (C) 14. Ponce C. 10. Canete M. 17. Valladares J. 9. Vilches Araneda A.
Substitutes
14. Abrigo J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 26. Contreras D. (G) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 18. Fuentes M. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 24. Palacio P. 9. Sosa G. 19. Vejar B.	7. Arias D. 21. Duma J. 30. Gonzalez C. (G) 26. Munoz C. 22. Opazo D. 18. Silva J. 16. Torres Quintana D. 11. Valenzuela C. 3. Vasquez K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Benitez J. ⚽,
42', Miranda E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Valladares J. ↓, Opazo D. ↑,
46', Ponce C. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Duma J. ⚽, Opazo D. (A),
62', Garrido B. 🟨,
62', Chamorro F. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
64', Benitez J. 🟨,
68', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
68', Canete M. ↓, Valenzuela C. ↑,
73', Benitez J. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
76', Carrasco B. 🟨,
76', Munoz C. (Pen),
79', Ormeno E. 🟨,
79', Marabel J. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
80', Carrasco B. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
87', Ortiz D. 🟨,
88', Leon J. ↓, Torres Quintana D. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Davila Carvajal M. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Fuentes M. ⚽, Palacio P. (A),
90+4', Fuentes M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 3.

Recent matches Palestino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santiago Wanderers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.

In this match Palestino is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 39-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
06.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	2:2 ✺
30.06.24	Palestino - Barnechea	3:0 ✺
23.06.24	Barnechea - Palestino	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Santiago City - Palestino	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.06.24	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWT
- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Cup
06.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	2:2 ✺
29.06.24	Universidad Católica - Santiago Wanderers	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Santiago Wanderers - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Concón National - Santiago Wanderers	3:5 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.06.24	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
06.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
29.10.21	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	1:1
25.07.21	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	2:0
16.12.20	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	3:1
10.03.20	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	1:2
Chilean Cup
16.06.18	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	4:3
09.06.18	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	0:2

Upcoming Matches