Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 19

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Derio

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.65	2.55
	2.88	2.65	2.62
	2.84	2.71	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.83)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)	2.59 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
31.6%

Draw
33.6%

Derio
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

33.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

33.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Aurrerá Ondarroa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Derio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.01.24	Anaitasuna - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Añorga	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Alavés C - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTT
- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.01.24	Derio - Basconia	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Derio - Añorga	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alavés C - Derio	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Derio - Deusto	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Leioa - Derio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.09.23	Derio - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Derio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide