Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Alavés C		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	3.6
	2.04	2.8	3.77
	2.04	2.8	3.77
	2.02	2.94	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.77)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	3.72 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
44.4%

Draw
31.5%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavés C's form might have worsened.

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alavés C will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	Basconia - Alavés C	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Alavés C - Añorga	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Urduliz - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Deusto - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Alavés C - Leioa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTTL
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.12.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Deusto	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLTTL

Alavés C - Aurrerá Ondarroa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide