Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Urduliz

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	3	2.95	2.35
	3.26	2.77	2.26
	3.2	2.91	2.27
	3	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.36)	2.89 ↓ (3.02)	2.31 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
29.4%

Draw
31.4%

Urduliz
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Urduliz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urduliz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Aurrerá Ondarroa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urduliz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Urduliz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.01.24	Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Añorga	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Alavés C - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Deusto	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTTWL
- Urduliz FT
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.01.24	Urduliz - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Urduliz - Basconia	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Padura - Urduliz	0:4 ✺
02.12.23	Urduliz - Añorga	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Touring KE - Urduliz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.01.23	Urduliz - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1
24.09.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz	0:0
09.01.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz	1:2
05.09.21	Urduliz - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide