Match Info

Date: 6 October 2021, Wednesday


	Austin Bold		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.8	3.25	3.95
	1.77	3.2	4.1
	1.79	3.47	4.59
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.79	3.44	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.63)	3.39 ↓ (3.77)	4.26 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin Bold
51.8%

Draw
26.8%

Tacoma Defiance
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin Bold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin Bold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Austin Bold - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Tacoma will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 13).

Austin has the most likely position - 5 (39.65%), has project points - 45, has currently - 36, has a chance of playoffs (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tacoma has the most likely position - 7 (34.1%), has project points - 38, has currently - 30, has a chance of playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Austin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tacoma has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Austin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Austin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Austin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin Bold
USL Championship
25.09.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Austin Bold	3:1 ✺
22.09.21	Austin Bold - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
18.09.21	Tulsa - Austin Bold	0:1 ✺
10.09.21	Austin Bold - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
07.09.21	Austin Bold - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWWW
- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
02.10.21	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
22.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	San Diego Loyal - Tacoma Defiance	1:0 ✺
15.09.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.10.19	Tacoma Defiance - Austin Bold	3:1
15.06.19	Austin Bold - Tacoma Defiance	1:1

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