Match Info

Date: 15 September 2021, Wednesday


	Oakland Roots		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.15	3.4	2.85
	2.06	3.3	3.05
	2.17	3.51	3.13
	2.15	3.32	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.97 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
42.4%

Draw
26.9%

Tacoma Defiance
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oakland Roots, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).

Oakland Roots has the most likely position - 6 (36.16%), has project points - 37, has currently - 24, has a chance of playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tacoma has the most likely position - 4 (25.06%), has project points - 44, has currently - 30, has a good chance of playoffs (59%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oakland Roots is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tacoma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tacoma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Oakland Roots won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
11.09.21	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	0:0 ✺
08.09.21	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
03.09.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Oakland Roots	3:0 ✺
28.08.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
25.08.21	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TWLWW
- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
05.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Phoenix Rising	1:3 ✺
02.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Las Vegas Lights	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
18.08.21	Orange County SC - Tacoma Defiance	0:3 ✺
14.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Tacoma Defiance	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
28.08.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1
08.08.21	Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots	3:1

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