Match Info

Date: 19 September 2021, Sunday


	San Diego Loyal		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.7
	1.82	3.35	3.65
	1.82	3.35	3.65
	1.86	3.62	3.98
	1.82	3.64	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	3.76 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
50%

Draw
25.9%

Tacoma Defiance
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Diego Loyal - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 10).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 2 (49.35%), has project points - 48, has currently - 34, has a good chance of playoffs (92%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Tacoma has the most likely position - 4 (26.77%), has project points - 42, has currently - 30, has a good chance of playoffs (55%), has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

San Diego Loyal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tacoma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Diego Loyal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
11.09.21	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	0:0 ✺
05.09.21	San Diego Loyal - LA Galaxy II	4:2 ✺
28.08.21	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:3 ✺
21.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Orange County SC	1:2 ✺
18.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLW
- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
15.09.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
05.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Phoenix Rising	1:3 ✺
02.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Las Vegas Lights	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
18.08.21	Orange County SC - Tacoma Defiance	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
14.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Tacoma Defiance	1:2
29.07.21	Tacoma Defiance - San Diego Loyal	2:1
13.05.21	Tacoma Defiance - San Diego Loyal	3:1
11.03.20	Tacoma Defiance - San Diego Loyal	1:2

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