Match Info

Date: 22 September 2021, Wednesday


	Tacoma Defiance		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.8	2.7	2.65
	2.7	2.85	2.5
	2.92	2.8	2.74
	2.7	3.2	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.57)	2.89 ↓ (3.45)	2.59 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
33.2%

Draw
31.6%

Sacramento Republic
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

19.2%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

Tacoma has the most likely position - 4 (27.64%), has project points - 41, has currently - 30, has a chance of playoffs (48%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 5 (25.8%), has project points - 40, has currently - 26, has a chance of playoffs (36%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The competitors look crappy now.

Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 16-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
19.09.21	San Diego Loyal - Tacoma Defiance	1:0 ✺
15.09.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
05.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Phoenix Rising	1:3 ✺
02.09.21	Tacoma Defiance - Las Vegas Lights	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
18.09.21	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
05.09.21	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	1:3 ✺
01.09.21	LA Galaxy II - Sacramento Republic	3:3 ✺
28.08.21	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.08.21	Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic	1:1
30.09.20	Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic	1:0
20.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:3
15.08.20	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:1
13.07.20	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:3
07.09.19	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:0
01.04.19	Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic	2:1

Upcoming Matches