The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin FC 23.2%
Draw 24.2%
Philadelphia Union 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
26.5%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
26.4%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Austin FC - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 10 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (C) 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 17. Gallagher J. 14. Sabovic B. 24. Alastuey J. 30. Rosales J. 38. Torres E. 21. Ramirez C. 10. Uzuni M.
18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 8. Bueno J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 3. Desler M. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 7. Nelson J. 77. Placheta P. 6. Sanchez I. 11. Torres F. 9. Vazquez B.
23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 51. Jakupovic M. 4. Lukic J. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 33. Sullivan Q.
Coaches
Arnaud D.
Richter R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Sullivan C. ⚽, Harriel N. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Hines-Ike B. ⚽, Rosales J. (A),
38', Bueno J. 🟨,
41', Pierre N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
57', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
63', Alastuey J. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
63', Ramirez C. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
72', Rosales J. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
72', Hines-Ike B. ↓, Desler M. ↑,
74', Sullivan C. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
74', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
84', Gallagher J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
90+3', Iloski M. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
90+6', Torres E. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Philadelphia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Austin: Wolff O.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Sullivan C.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Martinez G.
(Injury)
Ndinga P.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Including home match between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Outrights of MLS for now
Philadelphia Union: 2.36% Austin FC: 0.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Stuver B. (C) 
Svatok O. 
Guilherme Biro 
Gallagher J. 
Sabovic B. 
Alastuey J. 
Rosales J. 
Uzuni M. 
Blake A. (C) 
Wagner K. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Bueno J. 
Damiani B. 
Desler M. 
Kolmanic Z. 
Nelson J. 
Placheta P. 
Alladoh E. 
Lukic J. 
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