Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Austin FC		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.57	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.55
	2.70	3.45	2.48
	2.70	3.58	2.67
	2.88	3.57	2.35	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.60
	2.68	3.50	2.70	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.2)	3.49 ↓ (3.7)	2.56 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
35.8%

Draw
27.1%

Seattle Sounders
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Austin FC - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Austin (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 30. Rosales J. 14. Sabovic B. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 17. Gallagher J. 11. Torres F. 9. Vazquez B. 10. Uzuni M.	26. Thomas A. (G) 45. Kingston P. 39. Hawkins S. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou (C) 31. Dotson H. 37. Brunell S. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Rusnak A. 14. Rothrock P. 19. Musovski D.
Substitutes
35. Djordjevic M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 7. Nelson J. 77. Placheta P. 21. Ramirez C. 38. Torres E. 33. Wolff O.	50. Anchor M. (G) 17. Arriola P. 95. De Rosario O. 24. Frei S. (G) 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 90. Gomez S. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 35. Lopez A. 53. Sandnes G.
Coaches
Arnaud D.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Sanchez I. ⚽, Sabovic B. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Rothrock P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Ragen J. 🟨,
60', Sabovic B. 🟨,
62', Sabovic B. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
62', Musovski D. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
62', Rosales J. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
63', Hines-Ike B. ↓, Djordjevic M. ↑,
66', Kingston P. ↓, Kossa-Rienzi K. ↑,
67', Brunell S. ↓, Arriola P. ↑,
83', Vazquez B. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
83', Torres F. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Uzuni M. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
88', Uzuni M. 🟨,
88', Nouhou ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Ramirez C. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
90+4', Ragen J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.

Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Seattle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Seattle: Petkovic N. (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Austin: Hines-Ike B. (Muscle Injury) Uzuni M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Hamstring Injury) Kim Kee-Hee (Muscle Injury) Roldan A. (Hip Injury) Roldan C. (Muscle Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Austin FC - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
23.05.26	St. Louis City - Austin FC	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	San Diego - Austin FC	5:0 ✺
10.05.26	Minnesota United - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Austin FC - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLTW
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
16.07.26	Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers	1:5 ✺
24.05.26	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Seattle Sounders - San Diego	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
21.09.25	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	2:1
28.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	2:0
13.07.24	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	0:1
02.03.24	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	0:0
30.08.23	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	1:2
17.05.23	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	1:2
10.09.22	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	3:0

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