Match Info

MLS

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Houston Dynamo		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.90	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.80	4.75
	1.68	3.90	4.70
	1.75	4.04	4.91
	1.72	3.98	4.58	Watch
	1.72	3.80	4.80
	1.73	4.05	4.83	Watch
	1.66	3.90	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)	3.92 ↓ (4.46)	4.74 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
55.8%

Draw
24.2%

Austin FC
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Houston Dynamo - Austin FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 50%). Austin (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Houston Dynamo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 36. Felipe Andrade 5. Lucas Halter 34. Resch A. 11. Ennali L. 18. Samassekou D. 19. Bogusz M. 30. Bouzat A. 16. Herrera H. (C) 20. Guilherme 10. Ponce E.	1. Stuver B. (G) 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 33. Wolff O. 17. Gallagher J. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 77. Placheta P. 11. Torres F. 9. Vazquez B. 10. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
22. Arana M. 6. Artur 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 9. Lingr O. 8. McGlynn J. 23. McGuire D. 21. Negri F. 28. Sviatchenko E.	35. Djordjevic M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 7. Nelson J. 21. Ramirez C. 30. Rosales J. 14. Sabovic B. 38. Torres E.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Arnaud D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bogusz M. ⚽, Ponce E. (A),
18', Sanchez I. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Bogusz M. ⚽, Guilherme (A),
32', 3 - 0, Guilherme ⚽, Bouzat A. (A),
42', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sanchez I. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
60', Placheta P. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
62', Sabovic B. 🟨,
62', Lucas Halter 🟨,
63', Samassekou D. ↓, Artur ↑,
70', Bouzat A. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
70', Ponce E. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
70', Svatok O. ↓, Djordjevic M. ↑,
71', Torres F. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
82', Gallagher J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
84', Guilherme ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
85', Lucas Halter ↓, Sviatchenko E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

In this match, Houston is the team to beat.

There will not play in Houston: Antonio Carlos (Knee Injury) Maurer J. (Concussion)

There will not play in Austin: Bell J. (Pelvis Injury) Desler M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Houston won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
22.07.26	Houston Dynamo - DC United	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
19.05.26	St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo	3:2 penalties ✺
MLS
16.05.26	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWL
- Austin FC
MLS
22.07.26	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	St. Louis City - Austin FC	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	San Diego - Austin FC	5:0 ✺
10.05.26	Minnesota United - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
25.04.26	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:0
09.08.25	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:2
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	3:1
MLS
26.04.25	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	2:0
21.09.24	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	0:1
15.05.24	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	1:0
20.04.24	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	0:1

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