Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, Texas)

Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Sport TV


	Austin FC		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.6
	1.92	3.75	3.6
	1.96	3.5	3.55
	2.02	3.71	3.8
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.99	3.72	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.21)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	3.63 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and MLS with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: My Network TV (WRBWDT ‚Äì Orlando, FL)

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
47.9%

Draw
26%

Orlando City
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	18.5%	14.8%

Austin FC - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Austin has the most likely position - 3 (12.78%), has project points - 52, has currently - 23, has a good chance of playoffs (75%), has a small chance of first-round bye (8%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (4%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Orlando City has the most likely position - 5 (12.18%), has project points - 50, has currently - 20, has a good chance of playoffs (68%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (5%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 20, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Orlando City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Austin will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Orlando City: Carlos Antonio (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
18.05.22	Los Angeles - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
08.05.22	Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLLWW
- Orlando City
MLS
14.05.22	Toronto FC - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
10.05.22	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:1 ✺
MLS
07.05.22	CF Montréal - Orlando City	4:1 ✺
30.04.22	Orlando City - Charlotte Eagles	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Orlando City - New York Red Bulls	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

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