Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Orlando City		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.18	Watch
	3.04	3.73	2.24
	3.01	3.75	2.18	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.12	3.74	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	3.69 ↓ (3.73)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orlando City
31.1%

Draw
25.6%

Philadelphia Union
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	7.7%	46.2%

Orlando City - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orlando City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 57. Iago Teodoro 6. Jansson R. (C) 4. Brekalo D. 77. Angulo I. 8. Ojeda B. 20. Atuesta E. 11. Tiago 22. Ellis J. 10. Ojeda M.	76. Rick A. (G) 26. Harriel N. (C) 2. Martinez G. 29. Makhanya O. 16. Bender B. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 14. Rafanello J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
16. Cartagena W. 3. Gomez A. 5. Luis Otavio 13. McGuire D. 12. Otero J. (G) 87. Pasalic M. 29. Reid-Brown T. 14. Spicer T. 19. Taifi Z.	23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 37. Korzeniowski S. 31. Marks G. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 20. Ndinga P. 6. Sullivan C. 66. Sundstrom F.
Coaches
Perelman M.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Rick A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 2 - 0, Dorsey G. ⚽,
43', Lukic J. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
51', Tiago 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Harriel N. (A),
58', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
60', Rafanello J. 🟨,
63', Atuesta E. ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
64', Tiago ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
64', Brekalo D. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
65', Vassilev I. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
70', Ellis J. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, McGuire D. ⚽, Spicer T. (A),
75', 3 - 2, Sullivan C. ⚽, Bender B. (A),
75', Iloski M. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
75', Damiani B. ↓, Korzeniowski S. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Bender B. ⚽, Korzeniowski S. (A),
81', Dorsey G. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
90', 4 - 3, Ojeda M. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.

In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Philadelphia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Orlando City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.

Philadelphia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Leg Injury) Ndinga P. (Hamstring Injury) Sery Larsen J. (Injury) Sullivan Q. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Miller N. (Knee Injury) Pasalic M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Westfield F. (Hip Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
MLS
09.05.26	CF Montréal - Orlando City	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Inter Miami - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	New England Revolution - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	DC United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orlando City - Charlotte	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWWLW
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
09.05.26	New England Revolution - Philadelphia Union	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Philadelphia Union - DC United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
05.04.25	Philadelphia Union - Orlando City	0:0
22.02.25	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:4
02.10.24	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:1
11.05.24	Philadelphia Union - Orlando City	2:3
21.06.23	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:2
25.03.23	Philadelphia Union - Orlando City	1:2
10.09.22	Philadelphia Union - Orlando City	5:1

Upcoming Matches