The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 37.4%
Draw 23.7%
Philadelphia Union 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.6%
23.3%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
22.6%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
In recent outings, Cincinnati has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Philadelphia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Philadelphia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Philadelphia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Philadelphia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cincinnati has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:37 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cincinnati against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).
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