Match Info

2. Liga - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt)

Referee: Bosnjak S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Austria Klagenfurt		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.65
	1.96	3.68	3.76
	1.37	4.78	7.79	Watch
	1.91	3.61	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.91 ↑ (3.64)	4.73 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Klagenfurt
54.5%

Draw
24.9%

SPG Wels
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Klagenfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Austria Klagenfurt - SPG Wels Predictions

Users Predictions: Austria Klagenfurt will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Klagenfurt will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kanuric A. (G) 99. Barisic B. 22. Gantschnig M. 44. Jandrisevits E. 8. Krnjic M. 30. Lang M. 20. Liu A. 10. Marinsek N. 24. Matkovic M. 21. Oda A. 11. Schmerbock M. (C)	1. Cechal M. (G) 12. Brugger M. 22. Conte K. 9. Gashi A. 28. Gobara P. 3. Luan (C) 20. Malinowski S. 6. Muller P. 8. Radics A. 17. Steinmann R. 14. Tischler L.
Substitutes
7. Jaritz F. 37. Karic A. 6. Kitz M. 29. Nappi D. 14. Okada R. 57. Turkin A. (G) 33. Vielgut L.	33. Bosnjak A. 23. Cirkovic M. 42. Lechner F. 38. Obermuller P. 44. Schrocker K. (G) 7. Schwaighofer J. 77. Thurnwald M.
Coaches
Landerl R.	Heinle C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Barisic B. ⚽, Schmerbock M. (A),
40', Tischler L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Radics A. ↓, Thurnwald M. ↑,
59', Steinmann R. ↓, Bosnjak A. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Barisic B. ⚽, Liu A. (A),
67', Malinowski S. ↓, Schwaighofer J. ↑,
74', Marinsek N. ↓, Jaritz F. ↑,
76', Krnjic M. 🟨,
81', Oda A. ↓, Vielgut L. ↑,
81', Brugger M. ↓, Lechner F. ↑,
81', Muller P. ↓, Cirkovic M. ↑,
84', Schmerbock M. ↓, Okada R. ↑,
84', Lang M. ↓, Karic A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 13).

Recent performances by Austria Klagenfurt have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SPG Wels has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Austria Klagenfurt is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian 2 Liga
19.09.25	First Vienna - Austria Klagenfurt	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Floridsdorfer AC - Austria Klagenfurt	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Grazer AK - Austria Klagenfurt	3:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
29.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Admira	0:4 ✺
23.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Bregenz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
19.09.25	SPG Wels - Liefering	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	SPG Wels - Austria Wien II	0:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	2:3 penalties ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
22.08.25	Admira - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

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