Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Generali Arena (Vienna)

Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Germany	Sky Go Germany
World	Onefootball


	Austria Wien		Ried

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.2
	2.29	3.35	3.38
	2.17	3.03	3.66	Watch
	2.29	3.43	3.32	Watch
	1.69	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.7)	3.34 ↓ (3.85)	3.44 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Wien
44.2%

Draw
28.3%

Ried
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

23.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Wien's form might have worsened.

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ried's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Wien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Austria Wien - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ried will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Wien will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 17. Lee Tae-Seok 28. Wiesinger P. 15. Dragovic A. 60. Radonjic D. 5. Barry A. 30. Fischer M. (C) 19. Eggestein J. 11. Sarkaria M. 20. Saljic S.	1. Leitner A. (C) 5. Havenaar N. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 12. Bajic A. 26. Mayer J. 6. Maart Y. 17. Pomer P. 10. Grosse M. 29. van Wyk A. 7. Mutandwa K.
Substitutes
14. Boateng K. 9. Botic N. 21. Guenouche H. 3. Ilic A. 99. Kos M. (G) 6. Maybach P. 2. Pazourek L. 29. Raguz M.	28. Bajlicz N. 15. Boguo J. 13. Kiedl P. 25. Kirnbauer D. 8. Rasner M. 18. Rossdorfer F. 9. Sane S. 24. Wernitznig C. 77. Wimmer F. (G)
Coaches
Helm S.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Mutandwa K. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Mutandwa K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Dragovic A. ↓, Pazourek L. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Barry A. ⚽,
55', Mayer J. 🟨,
55', van Wyk A. ↓, Sane S. ↑,
57', Havenaar N. 🟨,
59', Mayer J. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
62', Grosse M. 🟨,
65', Barry A. 🟨,
66', Sarkaria M. ↓, Botic N. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Eggestein J. (Pen),
78', Mutandwa K. 🟨,
79', Sollbauer M. ↓, Kirnbauer D. ↑,
79', Bajic A. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Fischer M. ⚽,
87', Fischer M. ↓, Maybach P. ↑,
87', Eggestein J. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
90+2', Saljic S. ↓, Raguz M. ↑,
90+4', Raguz M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Austria is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Knee Injury) Handl J. (Illness) Lee Kang-Hee (Knee Injury) Vucic R. (Knee Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ried: Mesic N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Austria: Plavotic T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Austria won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Austria won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Austria Wien - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
14.09.25	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Austria Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Austria Wien - Hartberg	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	LASK Linz - Austria Wien	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLT
- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
14.09.25	Ried - Hartberg	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	LASK Linz - Ried	1:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	Union Gurten - Ried	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.08.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Ried	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Ried - Sturm Graz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
04.03.23	Ried - Austria Wien	1:3
18.09.22	Austria Wien - Ried	3:0
23.10.21	Austria Wien - Ried	4:1
25.07.21	Ried - Austria Wien	2:1
21.05.21	Ried - Austria Wien	3:2
20.04.21	Austria Wien - Ried	2:2
23.01.21	Ried - Austria Wien	0:1

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