Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Nice		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.80	4.50	Watch
	1.75	3.90	4.40
	1.76	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.80	3.99	4.66
	1.83	3.75	4.18	Watch
	1.75	3.95	4.60
	1.82	3.94	4.72	Watch
	1.77	3.90	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.86 ↑ (3.58)	4.5 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
53.9%

Draw
24.8%

Le Mans
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

29.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Nice - Le Mans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nice will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diouf Y. (G) 5. Abdelmonem M. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. (C) 39. Coulibaly D. 28. Witsel A. 27. Nkounkou N. 29. Ngoumou N. 10. Diop S. 11. Wahi E.	1. Hatfout E. (G) 15. Boisse N. 16. Torrente R. 5. Voyer H. 8. Lauray A. (C) 26. Bamba R. 11. Bourabaa A. 10. Vercruysse J. 22. Calodat L. 14. Mafouta L. 25. Gueye D.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 9. Amoura M. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 38. Camara A. 7. Hein G. 21. Jansson I. 33. Mendy A. 41. Morana D. 87. Pereira E.	7. Brahimi B. 29. Bretelle L. 18. Buades L. 55. Delbecque A. (G) 13. Diallo H. 76. Larouci Y. 9. Rabillard A. 23. Traore D. 17. Yohou S.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bourabaa A. ⚽, Vercruysse J. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Wahi E. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Lauray A. 🟨,
61', Torrente R. ↓, Yohou S. ↑,
61', Vercruysse J. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
61', Gueye D. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
65', Diop S. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
65', Ngoumou N. ↓, Hein G. ↑,
70', Bourabaa A. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
74', Witsel A. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
74', Nkounkou N. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
75', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,
78', Calodat L. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
82', Boisse N. 🟨,
85', Clauss J. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
85', Wahi E. 🟨,

Preview

Nice is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Le Mans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdi A. (Surgery) Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Sanson M. (Surgery)

There will not play in Le Mans: Larouci Y. (Concussion) Sidibe D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Le Mans: Colas E. (Inactive) Kocik N. (Injury) Yohou S. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.58% Le Mans: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Juventus - Nice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTTL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 1
30.08.26	Rennes - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Le Mans - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Angers - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Le Mans - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Coupe de la Ligue
30.10.19	Le Mans - Nice	3:2

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