Match Info

Serie B - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Avaí		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.10	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.50
	2.65	3.00	2.75	Watch
	2.97	3.06	2.71
	2.86	3.03	2.61	Watch
	2.90	3.00	2.60
	2.88	3.07	2.53	Watch
	2.85	3.00	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.65)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
32.9%

Draw
30.8%

Atlético Goianiense
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Avaí - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 3. Allyson (C) 40. Reynaldo 15. Guilherme Aquino 22. Joao Vitor 25. Paulo Vitor 8. Luiz Henrique 36. Douglas Teixeira 7. Leo Chu 11. Vizeu F. 10. Jean Lucas	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Warley 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 3. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Leandro Vilela 8. Peixoto 7. Henrique Freitas 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
23. Gabriel Cipriano 4. Gabriel Simples 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 9. Leo Gamalho 21. Otavio Passos (G) 35. Pedrao 66. Quaresma 95. Wenderson 77. Ze Ricardo	13. Alves Y. (G) 19. Bruno Jose 15. Cristiano 20. Gustavo Maia 18. Joao Pedro 16. Klebert 17. Netinho 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito
Coaches
Aal A.	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leo Chu ↓, Gabriel Cipriano ↑,
59', Henrique Freitas ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
59', Guilherme Aquino ↓, Isaias ↑,
59', Geovany Soares ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
64', Barreto Viera O. J. 🟨,
67', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
69', Vizeu F. ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
70', Luiz Henrique ↓, Wenderson ↑,
78', Leandro Vilela ↓, Cristiano ↑,
78', Peixoto ↓, Netinho ↑,
81', Jean Lucas ↓, Hyan ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Bruno Jose ⚽, Netinho (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Avaí: Juan Rocha (Inactive) Pedro Cuiaba (Inactive) Thayllon (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Ewerthon (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Avaí: Daniel Penha (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Atletico GO: 1.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.26	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Avaí - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Juventude - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
18.08.26	Londrina - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1
16.09.25	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1
10.05.25	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
02.09.23	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:2
19.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.10.22	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
08.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1

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