Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Dias dos Santos P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Operário Ferroviario		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.80	3.40	4.10
	1.68	3.4	5.1	Watch
	1.71	3.72	5.7
	1.8	3.43	4.6
	1.65	3.65	5.6
	1.7	3.5	5.01	Watch
	1.7	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	5.11 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
55%

Draw
26.7%

Avaí
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Operário Ferroviario - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 43. Joseph 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 11. Aylon 10. Boschilia (C) 20. Vinicius Diniz 6. Moraes 92. Pablo	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 38. Jefferson Maciel 3. Allyson (C) 40. Reynaldo 22. Joao Vitor 25. Paulo Vitor 8. Luiz Henrique 56. William 43. Thayllon 11. Vizeu F. 7. Leo Chu
Substitutes
99. Caio Dantas 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 5. Indio 44. Klaus 26. Maguinho 77. Maxwell 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 7. Torres A. 9. Vinicius Mingotti 8. Zuluaga J.	14. Daniel Penha 36. Douglas Teixeira 23. Gabriel Cipriano 15. Guilherme Aquino 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 10. Jean Lucas 9. Leo Gamalho 5. Romildo Del Piage 2. Wallison 95. Wenderson 77. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Vizeu F. (Penalty Awarded),
11', Vizeu F. 🟨,
26', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
45+2', Joseph 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
63', Aylon ↓, Maxwell ↑,
63', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
70', Joao Vitor ↓, Wallison ↑,
70', Leo Chu ↓, Isaias ↑,
71', Thayllon ↓, Gabriel Cipriano ↑,
74', Matheus Trindade ↓, Torres A. ↑,
74', Pablo ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
75', Paulo Vitor ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
81', Vizeu F. ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Vinicius Mingotti ⚽, Torres A. (A),
90+6', 1 - 1, Jefferson Maciel ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, Wallison ⚽,
90+10', Wallison 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Operário PR is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Operário PR: Cuenu J. (Injury) Pereira H. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Avaí: Pedro Cuiaba (Inactive)

There are questionable in Avaí: Cristiano (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.32%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Avaí - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 20.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
07.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
27.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.26	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Juventude - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Avaí - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	São Bernardo - Avaí	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
19.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	0:0
16.04.25	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
09.08.24	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
19.04.24	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:0
29.10.21	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	2:1
22.07.21	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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