Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Avance Ezcabarte		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.15	2.08
	3.09	3.09	2.25
	3.84	3.32	1.9
	3	3	2.2
	3.12	3.04	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.41)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avance Ezcabarte
28.1%

Draw
29.2%

Peña Sport
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avance Ezcabarte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avance Ezcabarte than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Avance Ezcabarte - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Avance Ezcabarte has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peña Sport is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Peña Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Peña Sport might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avance Ezcabarte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Avance Ezcabarte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ezcabarte	5	2	2	1	10:4	6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Avance Ezcabarte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
01.04.26	Egüés - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Avance Ezcabarte - Huarte	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Avance Ezcabarte - Oberena	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Izarra - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
29.03.26	Beti Kozkor - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Aoiz - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Peña Sport - Egüés	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Huarte - Peña Sport	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.12.25	Peña Sport - Avance Ezcabarte	2:1
20.01.24	Avance Ezcabarte - Peña Sport	0:2
25.03.23	Avance Ezcabarte - Peña Sport	0:1
27.11.22	Peña Sport - Avance Ezcabarte	2:1

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