Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 13

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Trudovye Rezervy Stadium (Kursk)


	Avangard Kursk		Murom

	1	X	2
	2.56	3.28	2.42
	2.56	3.28	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.42 (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
35.2%

Draw
27.5%

Murom
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Murom have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Avangard Kursk - Murom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Skorobogatjko E. (G) 7. Balashov K. 11. Ignatenko V. 88. Khvat N. 78. Kumsarov D. 4. Mamkin I. 94. Nadolskiy A. 25. Nekrasov A. 71. Shchipachev V. 10. Slobodchikov M. 46. Sukharev A.	1. Sedov E. (G) 76. Ageev A. 77. Gubiev E. 7. Guseinov R. 56. Ivakhnov M. 3. Khodeev P. 42. Kirillov Y. 36. Kondramashin B. 17. Nasyrov I. 4. Samuel A. 21. Teterlev E.
Substitutes
18. Balitsky E. 9. Beskorovaynyi D. 26. Borisov S. 67. Kozyrev V. 45. Sedov D. 96. Senik D. 33. Tashaev R. (G) 36. Yunusov E.	67. Erokhin K. 40. Ivashin A. 20. Khalnazarov R. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 71. Nechaev A. 99. Rozhkov N. 8. Sedov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nasyrov I. (Own goal),
23', Khodeev P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Khodeev P. ↓, Erokhin K. ↑,
49', Guseinov R. ↓, Ivashin A. ↑,
59', Kondramashin B. ↓, Nechaev A. ↑,
59', Kirillov Y. ↓, Khalnazarov R. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Ignatenko V. ⚽,
75', Ageev A. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
76', Shchipachev V. ↓, Beskorovaynyi D. ↑,
76', Nekrasov A. ↓, Senik D. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Ivakhnov M. ⚽,
90', Balashov K. ↓, Borisov S. ↑,
90', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Sedov D. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation)).

In recent matches, Avangard Kursk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Murom is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Avangard Kursk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
04.10.25	Irtysh Omsk - Avangard Kursk	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kuban Krasnodar	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Avangard Kursk	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Torpedo Miass - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TWWLL
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
04.10.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Murom - Irtysh Omsk	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Murom	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Murom - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kaluga - Murom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.08.25	Murom - Avangard Kursk	1:0
17.05.25	Avangard Kursk - Murom	0:0
29.03.25	Murom - Avangard Kursk	0:0

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