Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN


	Ponte Preta		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	3.50	2.75	2.30	Watch
	3.30	2.75	2.30
	3.10	2.88	2.48	Watch
	3.65	2.82	2.45
	3.8	2.44	2.56	Watch
	3.50	2.62	2.38
	3.68	2.80	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.07)	2.72 ↑ (2.67)	2.39 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
26.7%

Draw
34.3%

Cuiabá
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

35%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

33.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	77.8%	22.2%

Ponte Preta - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 20. Julio 23. Palacios S. 3. Lucas Cunha 14. Danilo Barcelos 38. Tarik 16. Leo Gomes 19. Jonathan Cafu 10. Elvis (C) 18. David da Hora 9. Willian Pottker	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 6. Marlon 30. Raul (C) 8. Pepe 5. Calebe Costa 88. David Miguel 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto
Substitutes
26. Baianinho 21. Brandao 4. Diego M. L. 13. Diego Porfirio 35. Gustavo Telles 6. Juan Rodrigues 32. Kevyson 2. Lucas Justen 17. Miguel Morais 90. Rodriguinho 22. Thalys 30. Vinicius Ferrari (G)	14. Eric Melo 1. Joao Carlos (G) 26. Joao Silva 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 23. Marcos Junior 19. Mateus Santos 17. Victor Barbara 53. Weverson
Coaches
Boaro E.	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', David Miguel 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Joao Basso ⚽, Pepe (A),
41', Danilo Barcelos 🟨,
41', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Tarik ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Baianinho ↑,
56', David Miguel ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
56', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
64', Marlon ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
64', Calebe Costa ↓, Weverson ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Kauan Cristtyan ⚽, Rodrigo Rodrigues (A),
69', David da Hora ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
69', Leo Gomes ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
75', Danilo Barcelos ↓, Kevyson ↑,
76', Willian Pottker 🟨,
83', Pepe ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
84', Willian Pottker ↓, Brandao ↑,
85', Elvis 🟨,
90+6', Baianinho 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 15).

Ponte Preta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cuiabá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cuiabá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Bryan Borges (Inactive) David Braz (Inactive) Diego Tavares (Red Card) Luis Phelipe (Red Card)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Eliel (Hand Injury) Hernades (Muscle Injury) Lorenzo (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Murilo (Injury) Rodrigo Souza (Muscle Injury) Saravia Salvia R. A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Pepe (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
01.06.26	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	4:2 ✺
18.05.26	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	São Bernardo - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Athletic Club - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.01.21	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	2:2
09.10.20	Cuiabá - Ponte Preta	2:1
28.09.19	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	3:0
01.06.19	Cuiabá - Ponte Preta	1:3
Copa do Brasil
02.03.17	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 penalties

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