The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Londrina 39%
Draw 31.1%
Avaí 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
28.3%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
33.3%
25%
Londrina - Avaí Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 3. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 5. Andre Luiz 8. Lucas Marques (C) 7. Vitinho Mota 32. Joao Tavares 11. Iago Teles 9. Bruno Santos
41. Leo Aragao (G) 52. Wesley Gasolina 3. Allyson 50. Joao Maistro 36. DG 25. Paulo Vitor 8. Luiz Henrique (C) 14. Daniel Penha 10. Jean Lucas 11. Sorriso 9. Leo Gamalho
Substitutes
17. Andre Cardoso 55. Caio Rafael 44. Caio Rodrigues 29. Covre de Mello R. 99. Joao Vitor 77. Juninho 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 18. Paulinho Moccelin 6. Rafael Monteiro 19. Rodriguez E. 12. Zanella (G)
6. Cabral N. 4. Gabriel Simples 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 29. Marcio Vitor 5. Romildo Del Piage 43. Thayllon 2. Wallison 95. Wenderson 56. William
Coaches
Rogerio Micale
Cauan de Almeida
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Joao Tavares 🟨,
14', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
17', Daniel Penha ↓, Thayllon ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Andre Luiz ⚽, Lucas Marques (A),
44', Leo Aragao ↓, Igor Bohn ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Thayllon ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Joao Tavares ↓, Murilo Sousa ↑,
46', Paulo Vitor ↓, Romildo Del Piage ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Luiz Henrique (Own goal),
49', Kaue Leonardo 🟨,
52', Lucas Marques ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
60', DG 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Thayllon ⚽,
67', Vitinho Mota ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
78', Luiz Henrique ↓, William ↑,
78', DG ↓, Wenderson ↑,
81', Andre Luiz ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Bruno Santos ⚽, Paulinho Moccelin (A),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 0.
Londrina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Avaí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Londrina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Londrina: Gilberto
(Leg Injury)
Kevyn
(Muscle Injury)
Wallace
(Calf Injury)
Weverton
(Inactive)
There will not play in Avaí: Allyson
(Inactive)
Cristiano
(Inactive)
Isaias
(Injury)
Jefferson Maciel
(Injury)
Walace Franca
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Avaí: Bruno Baldini
(Inactive)
Pedro Cuiaba
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Brazil
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Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 
Rodriguez E. 
Cabral N. 
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