Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Serafim D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Cuiabá		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.00	4.33	Watch
	2.00	2.87	4.00
	2.32	2.95	3.30	Watch
	2.09	2.99	4.72
	2.32	2.58	4.06	Watch
	2.05	2.75	4.00
	2.00	2.86	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.19)	2.86 ↑ (2.83)	4.14 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
44.5%

Draw
32.8%

Vila Nova
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

33%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

34.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Cuiabá - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 6. Marlon 30. Raul (C) 8. Pepe 5. Calebe Costa 97. Luiz Otavio 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto	29. Dalberson (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus (C) 6. Higor 15. Dudu 5. Joao Vieira 11. Ryan 31. Dodo 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis
Substitutes
14. Eric Melo 50. Felipetto Colen Barcellos P. 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 23. Marcos Junior 19. Mateus Santos 2. Nino Paraiba 17. Victor Barbara	33. Bruno Xavier 38. Caio Marcelo 49. Dellatorre 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 30. Gabriel Atila (G) 9. Gustavo Puskas 22. Hayner 17. Kerlon 4. Samuel Lucas 8. Willian Maranhao
Coaches
Barros E.	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
46', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Caio Marcelo ↑,
58', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,
58', Luiz Otavio ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
66', Janderson ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
66', Andre Luis ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
66', Dodo ↓, Hayner ↑,
68', Pepe ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
84', Raylan ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
84', Ryan ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
85', Joao Vieira 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Calebe Costa ⚽,
90+8', Marcos Junior 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.

Cuiabá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vila Nova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cuiabá could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cuiabá: David Miguel (Yellow Cards) Eliel (Hand Injury) Hernades (Muscle Injury) Lorenzo (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Injury) Rafa Silva (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Dellatorre (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

Cuiabá - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.06.26	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Athletic Club - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTT
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.06.26	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Londrina - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	América Mineiro - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Vila Nova - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
13.05.26	Vila Nova - Anápolis	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.09.25	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	2:2
26.05.25	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0
Brazilian Copa Verde
11.05.24	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	4:3 penalties
17.04.24	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	2:0
22.03.23	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:1
15.03.23	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	0:2
08.02.21	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	3:0

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