Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Badgers Sports Ground (Eltham)


	Cray Valley Paper Mills		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.35	2.15
	3.02	3.89	2
	2.24	3.60	2.71	Watch
	3.12	3.43	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.09)	3.57 ↓ (3.61)	2.26 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Valley Paper Mills
33.1%

Draw
26%

Aveley
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cray Valley Paper Mills's form might have worsened.

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aveley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cray Valley Paper Mills, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aveley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Suleyman Z. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Suleyman Z. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Suleyman Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 4, Suleyman Z. ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, Akanbi I. ⚽,
84', Lema C. 🟥,

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aveley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cray Valley PM might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Cray Valley Paper Mills - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Aveley - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Brentwood Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sittingbourne - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Aveley - Ramsgate	5:0 ✺
28.10.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Aveley	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Potters Bar Town - Aveley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Aveley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Aveley - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWL

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