Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	2.19	3.79	2.74
	2.62	3.71	2.29	Watch
	2.25	3.56	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.62)	3.64 ↓ (3.71)	2.55 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
39.1%

Draw
25.1%

Aveley
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

24.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

24.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aveley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carshalton Athletic - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ifeanyi S. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Peters O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Carshalton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aveley is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aveley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carshalton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Aveley - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.14%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.25	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ramsgate - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTT
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.25	Whitehawk - Aveley	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Aveley	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Aveley - Ramsgate	5:0 ✺
28.10.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Aveley	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Potters Bar Town - Aveley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.03.23	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	0:0
10.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:0
English FA Trophy
16.12.19	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
14.12.19	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	3:3

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