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Current Win Probability
Aveley 49.4%
Draw 24.5%
Welling United 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
21.3%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
20.7%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.
Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Welling United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welling United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Aveley - Welling United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aveley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Welling will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Harris C. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Sach B. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Harris C. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 2.
Aveley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Welling has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.
In this match, Aveley is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Watch
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