Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Aveley		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	2	3.6	3.25
	2.06	3.88	3.12
	2.07	3.88	3.08
	1.95	3.6	3.25
	1.98	3.6	3.38
	2.03	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.57)	3.64 ↓ (3.75)	3.19 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
45.9%

Draw
25.2%

Havant & Waterlooville
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aveley - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, McNerney J. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Coleman R. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aveley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
29.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	3:4 ✺
23.03.24	Aveley - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Farnborough - Aveley	3:1 ✺
11.03.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
29.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5 ✺
23.03.24	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
13.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.10.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Aveley	1:4
English FA Cup
10.10.15	Aveley - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2

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